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Jeffery

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Everything posted by Jeffery

  1. Getting deeper into the study (which can be accessed via the link in my previous post), three Ohio cities are in the top 10 metro areas with the highest unemployment gap between education groups....this is for 2009: Unemployment rate Unemployment rate High School or Less Bachelors Deg or Higher Toledo 18.1% 4.1% Akron 15.6% 3.6% Dayton 14.3% 3.8% These are pretty impressive gaps, and it seems for college educated folks there is fairly low unemployment (official rate)...that the "unemployment recession" is being felt by the lower-educated workforce...in Toledo it looks like pushing Depression era unemployment rates.
  2. From Brookings, a study (and "stoopid list") of citys based on education/jobs/industry mismatches. The study segregates metro areas by four or five different classifications, from best prospects to worst...long term... Favorable Education Match and Industry Composition: These metropolitan areas do not have a long-run structural problem related to the matching of worker education to what available occupations require; nor do they have a short-run problem related to demand for their specific industries. The typical job in these areas requires less education than what is possessed by the typical worker. Likewise, these economies were more heavily concentrated in growing industries or relatively resilient industries during the worst of the recession, mitigating unemployment. As in all metropolitan areas, highly educated workers are more likely to be employed than less educated workers, but the difference between the two is not as severe as in metropolitan areas with a more pronounced education gap. These metro areas may be better positioned to recover as the national economy recovers. One ohio metro falls into this category: Columbus Favorable Education Match; Unfavorable Industry Composition: These metropolitan areas have a short-run economic problem related to inadequate demand for workers in their most prevalent industries, but they do not have a long-run structural problem related to the matching of worker education to what available occupations require. The typical job in these areas requires less education than what the typical worker possesses. However, these economies were more heavily concentrated in declining or more vulnerable industries during the worst of the recession, resulting in significantly more layoffs than better positioned metros. As in all metropolitan areas, their more educated workers are more likely to be employed than their less educated workers, but the gap between the two is not as severe as in metropolitan areas with a more pronounced education gap. These metros are not well positioned to recover unless national demand for what their industries produce rebounds significantly, or they diversify into faster growing industries like healthcare, professional services, and clean energy. One Ohio metro falls into this categroy: Akron Unfavorable Education Match; Favorable Industry Composition: These metropolitan areas have a long-run structural problem related to a mismatch between worker education and occupational demand, but they have a relatively strong mix of jobs in resilient industries, which have provided ballast against what would otherwise be higher unemployment during the recession. The typical job in these metropolitan areas requires more education than what the typical worker possesses. Yet, these economies were more heavily concentrated in growing or slower-declining industries during the worst of the recession. As in all metropolitan areas, their more educated workers are more likely to be employed than their less educated workers, but the difference between the two is more severe because of the overall education gap. These metro areas may be well positioned for short-term rebound as the national economy recovers, but unemployment rates above the national average will tend to persist until they can either boost educational attainment or stimulate greater employer demand for less educated workers. Two Ohio metros fall into this category: Cleveland Dayton Unfavorable Education Match and Industry Composition: These metropolitan areas have a long-run structural problem related to a mismatch between worker education and occupational demand, and they have a short-term problem related to significant employment declines in their most prevalent industries. The typical job in these metro areas requires more education than what the typical worker possesses. Likewise, these economies were more heavily concentrated in declining industries or more vulnerable industries during the recession. Like all metropolitan areas, their more educated workers are more likely to be employed than their less educated workers, but the unemployment difference between the two groups is more severe because of the education gap. These metro areas are not well positioned to recover unless national demand for what their industries produce rebounds significantly, and they may have to diversify into faster growing industries like healthcare, professional services, and clean energy. Moreover, regardless of national industry demand, above average unemployment rates will tend to persist until they can either boost educational attainment or stimulate greater employer demand for less educated workers. Three Ohio metros fall into this category: Cincinnati/Middletown Toledo Youngstown.
  3. Jeffery replied to a post in a topic in Ohio Business and Economy
    Yes, I'd like to see more of Akron here, too! BTW, there is a good book on the unionization drives of the 1930s in Akron, which indirectly gives a picture of the city itself, called "Industrial Valley". It was originally pubished in the 1930s or 1940s, but was recently reprinted. I guess the suprising thing about the place is that it isn't "ethnic" the way Youngstown and Cleveland are, that it has this rural appalachian ancestry thing going on, which maybe makes it more like Dayton, culturally speaking...maybe more 'southern' (if the appalachian in-migrants came from the southern Appalachians).
  4. I always thought that this street was a missed urban design opportunity: Otherwise these are great shots. I am impressed by that War Memorial. Stuff like this usually leaves me cold, but in this case the interior is actually fairly moving, from the pix.
  5. Jeffery replied to a post in a topic in Ohio Business and Economy
    ^ Hey..thanks! That commuting pattern map is quite interesting ...seeing the flows into Summit, but also the connection of the Mahoning Valley to PBGH
  6. Jeffery replied to a post in a topic in Ohio Business and Economy
    Bump, to go along w. that Akron discussion in another thread.
  7. US Economy Tipping Into Recession, says ECRI. ECRI’s recession call isn’t based on just one or two leading indexes, but on dozens of specialized leading indexes, including the U.S. Long Leading Index, which was the first to turn down – before the Arab Spring and Japanese earthquake – to be followed by downturns in the Weekly Leading Index and other shorter-leading indexes. In fact, the most reliable forward-looking indicators are now collectively behaving as they did on the cusp of full-blown recessions, not “soft landings.” ...and there is a macro look at an notional new regime of economic dysfunction and viscious cycles near the end of the piece. Hmph.
  8. THis.... ....was (I think) one of the first two Marshall Field suburban storers. The twin..or very similar design.... is in Oak Park.
  9. Hey, thx for this list. Im deffo going to try Adonis. Sounds like a hot place. Below Zero sounds almost like a good place if yr gay but also bisexual, since str8 women hang out there. I can see this could get interesting. BTW, I have been to the 'upstairs' at BZ, for a show during the Fringe Festival last year. The Covington places and the On Broadway place sound pretty interesting, too.
  10. Ive "friended" things like taverns or government agencies and programs or things like arts projects and bands and stuff like that. Most of the people I know in realtime are not on facebook or are just occasionally, like me.
  11. Id expect the South to be hammered by offshoring to low-wage markets in Asia and elsehwere. Their only selling point was low labor costs (and maybe low energy costs)...not quality of life and not a skilled or even somewhat well-educated workforce. Take away low wages and why bother continue operations in Dixie?
  12. I love this stuff. In a funny way its a return of the back house (as they are called in Buffalo) or alley house (as they are called in Chicago), the way Great Lakes cities increased density within a paradigm of detached housing on city lots (vs the rowhouse/tenement thing on the East Coast)....yet all these examples are on the West Coast. The concept isnt too new. When I was living in Califas in the 1980s Sunset Magazine was pushing this. They were premitting these "Granny Flats" in the Bay Region suburbia, and Sunset had a design competition for this typology.
  13. DDN has a two page story on this.... Ending Exodus of Young Proffessionals Vital to Growth Attracting and retaining young, educated professionals is a critical part of ensuring a bright future for the region. That fact has not been lost on local leaders who have made it a priority to increase the number
of young adults by encouraging
companies to offer internships and incentives to attract potential
long-term residents off college campuses and into communities. The number of 20- to 39-year-olds leaving the area has risen
dramatically for parts of the Miami Valley during the last decade. A comparison of U.S. Census data between 2000-2010, shows Montgomery County losing more than 22,000 residents in that age group, while Greene, Miami and Warren counties only seeing modest single-digit percentage gains. ...the article goes on with various interviews. Some of which are familiar raps if anyone has followed the local discussion around this topic. Here is one that I notice too: One challenge for Gillespie has faced since moving here is the negative attitude in Dayton about Dayton. “This has been one of the hardest things I’ve had to deal with since I moved here,” she said. “I’m already dealing with the reality of the slow economy here in terms of the job market. The last thing I need is for people to tell me, ‘oh, you shouldn’t even be here.’ ” I fall in to doing that quite a bit actually. But there is, in some respects, more going on now than in 1988, when I settled in here. And this comment proves there is a pretty big vacuum in the area in terms of the local power structure disappearing or withdrawing...."why the garden club couldnt save Youngstown" type stuff: "“I’m only 24 and I’m on the board of the (Dayton) philharmonic,” said Lauren Hamer, a graduate student and music instructor. “That wouldn’t normally happen in the city where I came from, Cleveland. It’s absolutely fantastic.” ...even with the limited amount of stuff I was doing online here at Urban Ohio and with my blog it attracted attention and I could have been more of a local public figure on urban affairs issues & urban history if I wanted to be. This town is wide-open for people wanting to do stuff and make things happen.
  14. This new stuff reminds me of the redevelopment going in east of downtown Buffalo. They keep, more or less, the old street grid, and put in new quasi-suburban infill on larger lots than where there before. Which is fine. Your seeing this in Dayton...at a smaller scale...too. Probably the best example is Wright-Dunbar, west of downtown, but there are examples throughout the city. Students of urban morphology will recognize this as "buidling subsistution", and it is a natural part of urban growth and change in old cities..older buildings get replaced by newer through time. The difference here...in Cleveland and Dayton and probably Buffalo.... is that there was this hiatus of a "vacant lot/abanondned shell" era before the substitution occured.
  15. ...at least they dropped that "Stalinist Skyscraper" design.
  16. ^ A sunken garden? On the other side of the bridge...in Brooklyn somewhere...is this place called Gowanus Creek, that sort of snakes its way into Brooklyn as sort of channelized watercourse. I recall reading way back that they were talking about doing some sort of restoration of it. Have you heard anything about this?
  17. Jeffery replied to a post in a topic in City Photos - USA/World
    The park with the lake is sweet. ...hipster/latino mix. interesting.
  18. Some edits on this post. But yeah, you are right about the Conservancy District. I agree on that...this is one of the best examples in Ohio of a regional government with "teeth". Five Rivers is still somewhat limited (though I like what they are doing...I'm an avid user of their forest preserves). The legislative history of the COnservancy District and how it was set up is a good example of how to set up governance beyond the county level, since the district does cross county lines and is truely regional, as it is based on a watershed. It also has the usual powers associated with a government, such as eminent domain, assessment, and taxation. The only complaint is that its somewhat insulated from the voters, the concept being more "corporate board of directors"....which I suspect is by design since the imeptus was to solve an engineering problem vs broad-based governance.
  19. ^ Cleveland is still somewhat of a corporate center, no? (and has an international airport?)
  20. Dayton political activist and blogger David Esrati has a good, lengthy post on a somewhat hush-hush regionalism proposal or initiative being developed in the Dayton area: The Secret Group Trying to Do Regionalism Without Telling Anyone A group has been meeting to begin a regionalism movement in Montgomery County, and as always it’s being done behind closed doors because we, the people, aren’t smart enough to participate until they’ve planned and announced their grand strategy. Businesses have been contacted and asked to pledge money, and a non-profit 501c4 has been set up, and once they had enough pledges in hand, they were to crawl up the mount to ask the great Clay Mathile for his blessing and support. Only one problem: you don’t do regionalism behind closed doors. Ever. More at the link, including additional links to .pdfs discussing the proposal and a comment from yours trulely why Portland should be the model for regionalism, not Louisville.
  21. Curious about what the Queen City offers. So far I have been to The Serpent, which can be fun...and fairly friendly, too. I know about Simon Says (nice downtown gay bar). What else is out there and what kind of places are they? Good gay/lez danceclubs (gay or mixed) would be a plus, if there are any. Assuming there are a few GLBT Cincinnatians posting here who would have this intel. I'm planning some road trips down to Cincy for some variety.
  22. Jeffery replied to CincyImages's post in a topic in Urbanbar
    Bummer. As someone who is in denial that the 80s never ended, this doesn't help me...... "....Dont go back to Rockville/And waste another year....." Brings back memories driving the valleys of the Coast Ranges in Califas listening to this on KQAK...music was pretty good in the early/mid 1980s. "Postpunk" in its various guises.
  23. Jeffery replied to CincyImages's post in a topic in Urbanbar
    lol that was the hottest area in chicago in the 80's. the alex keaton yuppie era party zone ...Rush Street goes 'way back as the nightlife district. It was that back in the late 19570s/early 1960s, too (that "Rat Pack"/"Playboy" era of urban night life). Also a gay bar area. Incidentally the famous architect, Mies Van Der Rohe, used to go to those girly joints NorthAndre mentioned. He lived in Streeterville so the delights of Rush were a short cab ride away. Even before that postwar era the parts of Rush further south, toward, say, Bughouse Square and the Water Tower, was the Chicago Bohemia, "Tower Town", which had various nightclubs and taverns catering to writers, artistist, hangers-on, the Chicacgo demimonde of that era. During the 1920s these became, I guess, speakeasys.
  24. Jeffery replied to a post in a topic in Urbanbar
    ^ ...Hah..yes indeed...I'd figure it was mainstream if you can get it at a public library in Dayton! Im starting to go out dancing more, just at Masque. The music is sometimes good sometimes not. Sometimes things just click perfect and I can really get swept away by the music and energy on the dancefloor. It's euphoric. I guess the DJ was having a good night those nights. I should say I don't know how to dance and it is probably a silly sight, but it doesnt matter much since thats not the game at Masque..there its more about >just< dancing, not impressing. But this is a whole new game for me, this "new" dance music. I should see if the club has a website with playlists.
  25. Jeffery replied to a post in a topic in Urbanbar
    So, I go to The Serpent in Cincy and meet this guy...again...who I met two weeks ago...same place. We go to a dark corner...again.... and start making out. I'd like to see him again and he seems interested. He tells me to friend him or send him a freind request on FB ...before I go to bed that night. I do. Never heard back. So, I figure that this the social network version of exchanging numbers on scraps of paper or matchbooks, where you give the guy yr contact info and never hear back (or never call back).