jdm00

They've outperformed their run differential by one game, while the Cardinals have underperformed by five games (worst amongst teams that are in contention). I'd say that the Reds are a little bit "lucky" in regards to the latter. I think technically you'd say that the Cardinals have been "unlucky" in that regard--the Reds record is pretty much where it should be according to the math. I guess you could say the Reds are lucky that the Cards have been unlucky, but the Reds own record is not "lucky." Run differential is an interesting thing--witness yesterday's 9-0 win by the Cards. What does that give them, plus 1 or 2 wins just based on that one game? I think that it is obviously pretty predictive in the long run, but doesn't necessarily take into account completely (or well) those sort of swings. Just my two cents, though. (Not that you care, but I think a lot of the Cards' problems are their own doing. I have to believe that the current lineup they have been using--Pedro Feliz batting 5th! Are you kidding me!--is one of the weakest offensive lineups of any contending team. It is almost a crime that they have two number ones (Wainwright and Carpenter), a solid 3 pitching like a 2 (Garcia), the best player in baseball, and Holliday, and aren't a playoff lock. I blame LaRussa and the management for that. Though as a Reds fan, I am not complaining.) Yeah, I was saying that the Reds are lucky that the team they're battling with for the NL Central crown has had some of the worst luck (in regards to run differential) in MLB. Run differential is a great predictor, but it's imperfect. However it works pretty well over large sample sizes. Glad to someone else at least familiar with the concept. So many baseball fans seem completely oblivious to such great, newer forms of statistical analysis! I agree it does work well over large sample sizes--but even then, you can see how quickly it can change in just a couple of days. The Cards have picked up 26 runs in RD on the Reds in the past three games, basically. A pretty big swing. But it will even out. I'm ok with most of the SABR stuff. I am pretty skeptical of defensive measurements just because they are absolutely all over the board. I will be interested to see how Pujols and Votto end up stats-wise--they are neck and neck in so many of the key categories, it could be the best MVP race in a while.

They've outperformed their run differential by one game, while the Cardinals have underperformed by five games (worst amongst teams that are in contention). I'd say that the Reds are a little bit "lucky" in regards to the latter. I think technically you'd say that the Cardinals have been "unlucky" in that regard--the Reds record is pretty much where it should be according to the math. I guess you could say the Reds are lucky that the Cards have been unlucky, but the Reds own record is not "lucky." Run differential is an interesting thing--witness yesterday's 9-0 win by the Cards. What does that give them, plus 1 or 2 wins just based on that one game? I think that it is obviously pretty predictive in the long run, but doesn't necessarily take into account completely (or well) those sort of swings. Just my two cents, though. (Not that you care, but I think a lot of the Cards' problems are their own doing. I have to believe that the current lineup they have been using--Pedro Feliz batting 5th! Are you kidding me!--is one of the weakest offensive lineups of any contending team. It is almost a crime that they have two number ones (Wainwright and Carpenter), a solid 3 pitching like a 2 (Garcia), the best player in baseball, and Holliday, and aren't a playoff lock. I blame LaRussa and the management for that. Though as a Reds fan, I am not complaining.)

Eh, some of those aren't lucky. Check out the redlegnation.com website. Janish is a superior fielder to Cabrera and hits just as well, at least right now. That was probably an improvement when he got in the lineup. As for Homer, he was coming off the DL and was going back into the rotation after tearing it up at Louisville--the writing was on the wall at that point for Leake to move to the bullpen, because he'd been getting hit hard for about two months. Cairo has been a nice surprise, filling in very well. On the other hand, it's easy to say that with better production from their outfield, they'd be even better. Stubbs has been borderline terrible all year; Bruce just had a horrible slump, though he looks good the past couple weeks; and Gomes has been really not very good the past two and a half months. The Reds have a solid run differential, adequate to good starting pitching, a decent enough bullpen, and lead the league in runs. They're right about where they should be.

lol

I thought that one in Louisville was going to be called/was called Caesar's Indiana? Did they change it?

I'll be interested to see how accurate the biz journal estimates are as compared to the Census figures.

As you fly into town, the new tower looks like clearly the biggest building downtown from the bird's eye view of the plane. Pretty cool, actually.

^Presumably. It's still up--they were using it to take down the shorter crane that was coming up through the parking structure.

Parking garage crane is down now. (Annoyingly couldn't drive down Sycamore there to get into Atrium II this morning.)

Ha!

^Meant to evoke the Old English spaghetti warehouses of days gone by?

I wish it was taller, but the 'tiara' and the lines created where the upper portions begin to square off are starting to grow on me. I think the best angle is sort of 45 degrees to it (like when you have come down from the cut in the hill and are soon to cross the Brent Spence).

Yes. I think if you are looking for bars that people will be frequenting post-game, you would want to check out Cadillac Ranch, Lodge Bar, Black Finn, etc.

Yeah, ColDay is right. It really depends on the when and where. I am in C-bus on business plenty of times, and it is not very lively around the capitol. But head up the street a bit, and it changes.

^I always find your contributions in this thread, the Huntington WV thread, and the Xavier thread to be good. (For whatever that's worth.)

Cool.

The difference in elevation from 3rd to 5th street also makes a big difference, I think.

Yeah, and it beats the alternative--it's hard to complain about projects bringing housing and residents to the urban core. Of course, we always want more...

The Columbus stuff is exciting, but I have not warmed up to the Gay Street housing stuff that is going on. It seems like a nice enough development, but it feels out of place to me--I guess I'd prefer to see infill that is more in the type of 3-10 story buildings than the townhome developments.

There were some pretty cool photos in a recent issue of the Business Courier, where they also talked about trying to land an out-of-town tenant for part of the remaining floors.

^ Good point. I am excited about them all, but it's hard to believe it's all happening now, with this economy. Hopefully when the economy turns, Cincinnati will be in a position to really take advantage based on the investments that are being made right now.

This discussion of Senate has taken a strange turn....

Wow. It is so odd to have all these things happening downtown at one time. It's terrific, but it's just odd...CRP, the Banks, QCS, the Streetcar....mind-boggling.

Looking at the aerial renderings posted in the Banks thread, you can see that capping FWW would make downtown even more impressive.

I guess that's not bad looking for a parking garage.