LlamaLawyer

Ah, many a law school memory I have from that garage. Stumbling in at 3 am after a night in the law review office. Sobbing in my car for no good reason. This garage really is the gift that keeps giving!

Found exactly what it reminds me of, lol.

Hey, the facade's pretty nice, lol. Very Columbus, in a mostly good way.

Turns out this comment may have been prescient!!

I have basically zero idea the gravity of the environmental concerns on the peninsula, so I'm curious if you know. Are we talking "due diligence takes an extra month" or "no lender in their right minds would finance a project?"

University Circle now vs. 15 years ago is basically unrecognizable. Dramatic transformation. But I've got a feeling Scranton Peninsula is about to have a more dramatic transformation, and maybe in half the time.

Gotta say, I really don't care about the demo. I've lived in this area for 8 years. For half that time, I lived right up Cedar hill. I've driven past this lot many times. Literally never given a thought to the rowhomes. In Cleveland, every block is either historic or used to be historic. There are some real tragedies and some gems that I'm glad were saved, but I'm not gonna get worked up about some random rowhomes. I'm all for historical preservation of the genuinely outstanding, which we have a lot of. But we also have a lot of the historical but unremarkable. It's not all gonna make it and that's ok.

I agree with you, although to be clear I'm still couching it in terms of "might." I am not sure we're there yet. I hold out hope that there will be a wake up call that makes citizens act like citizens again. But it's just hope, not certainty.

There already is a suit against the redistricting commission. That's why this has gone before the Supreme Court several times and why it will again. It's not remotely a longshot. To the contrary, the Supreme Court is basically guaranteed to strike down this map, as they have previous maps. Then the commission will meet again, and this time there's a better chance of the mapdrawers being able to finish the job because of how close to completion they've already come. So as frustrating as this is, I still give us a better than 50% chance of ending up with pretty decent state legislative maps.* As far as the informed voters issue-- At the end of the day, it's an issue of whether we are a people capable of self government. There's a good book by Tom Nichols called "Our Own Worst Enemy" that discusses these challenges. If we can't make the people of Ohio understand what's going on, then we can't avoid this problem. If we can't avoid this problem, we won't have representative districts. It is within the realm of possibility that our culture has declined to a point where we are unable to sustain a functioning democracy. If that's the case, there is no solution--violent, peaceful, otherwise it can't save us unless we have the basic civil character required to sustain a democracy. Hopefully that's not where we are, but it is a real, non-remote possibility. *I just want to be clear there is a separate issue of the congressional map, which sometimes gets mixed up in the discussion. The congressional map is far less likely ultimately to get struck down for a number of reasons.

@KJPWhat we are doing using civil means is working. The maps Republicans have been making are no worse than the current maps. But for voter action, you wouldn’t be hearing about this issue. But the constitutional amendments we made are getting in the Republicans’ way. Democratic justices we elected are getting in the way. The Supreme Court will not uphold this map. It’s so transparently a violation of their order. The main reason Republicans pulled this stunt is they were afraid the independent mapmakers map would be finished in time. Next go round it probably will be. And if it’s not, if Rs find some new way to screw this all up, what we can do is inform people about the abuses of power going on in simple terms. The voters will know what’s going on is wrong. We just need to work to get them the facts so that they understand who is at fault. Violence will accomplish nothing. Headlines that say “mapmaking process disrupted by rioters” would just play into Republicans’ hands.

What just occurred is disgusting. I’m literally sick to my stomach.

Well I'm really not an expert in this, just giving my commonsense thoughts. I know they can drain lake Powell. That gives Mead some extra time, but it screws over the people who rely on Powell. They can, and will, reduce usage. That sorta hurts everybody. But they're already partly doing both of those things. Usage has been cut under the pact. Powell and Mead allocations are periodically balanced out based on need. And nevertheless, Mead is falling faster so far in 2022 than it did in either 2020 or 2021. It's like going down a hill and putting on the brakes, but not hard enough to keep you from continuing to accelerate. I do have to assume there are lots of smart people working on this problem who have thought a lot more about it than I have and know a lot more about it than I do. Nevertheless, catastrophes that can be seen a mile away still happen. 2008 was an example of this. Lake Mead just feels the same way. I don't see many people out there even acknowledging this is a near-term existential problem for Nevada. Bottom line--not every problem is functionally solvable. And sometimes when experts are faced with a potentially unsolvable problem, the political incentives make them ignore the worst case scenarios and cross their fingers for a best case scenario. Not necessarily saying that's what's happening here, but it certainly has that feel.

Saudi Arabia isn't exactly water secure. Their per capita water supply is about 7% of the U.S. per capita water consumption. Folks out west use a lot more than the U.S. average, so if desalination is the solution and we think we can achieve what Saudi Arabia achieves, people out west still have to figure out how to function on perhaps 1/20th the water they currently do. The other thing about desalination and pipelines is that I just don't see how it could be done fast enough to really avoid the problem if a, say, 80th percentile bad scenario plays out. The Bureau of Reclamation projections go through '26 and show there being a less than 1% chance of Mead or Powell deadpool by 2026. That's great, and I am sure their projections are the best available. But that's four years from now! Why are you working with four year projections (it was originally a five-year projection, but it was last year) that relate to water supply for 40 million people? I have to believe, if they have internal long-term projections, that those projections would show somewhere between a 20-80% chance of deadpool for Mead and Powell in 20 years. All you have to do is assume the rate of water loss from the last 20 years and you're about there for both. If you take the last two years of water loss rate and extrapolate, you get there much faster. The interstate highway system took 35 years to build, and I think that may be a comparable example to the scale of the projects that would be needed assuming the Colorado River ceases to be an option. I mean, the operative water shortage plan was only adopted in 2019! It just seems like there is no medium term planning in the face of an existential crisis on the decade scale. Now, maybe none of this happens, or maybe the solution is easier than I realize. It just seems like a big problem that doesn't get enough airtime. People talk ad nausea about how to plan for sea level rise in 2100 or later, but here's a problem that's going to unfold in our lifetimes and there seems to be no sense of urgency.

Sorta late comment on the South Campus, but it’s significant that Case’s student population is growing steadily even though national enrollment is going down. That’s good for the whole region.

Here’s one I just can’t get over and I frankly don’t understand why it’s not discussed more. Lake Mead is in a perilous, perilous position. Lots of places rely on it for water, but the most vulnerable is probably Las Vegas, which gets 90% of its water from the lake. I see lots of articles claiming Vegas has a secure water supply, but I just don’t see how the math works out. Lake Mead is about 160 feet above “dead pool,” the level at which water physically cannot be pumped out anymore. If the current rate of decline continues, Lake Mead will reach dead pool around 2030. Aka, eight years from now. To be clear, that’s just assuming the current rate of water loss. Now, this also may not happen. We may get a couple good snow years. But if it does happen, how do you get a new water supply for an entire city in eight years? Even if it takes twice or three times that long, how do you revamp the water supply in the desert when there is no groundwater to speak of and the only river runs dry? Other cities like Phoenix and Los Angeles have a long-term problem too, but they at least have enough groundwater to kick the can down the road. Las Vegas does not. Climate change presumably plays a role in the problem, but the biggest problem seems to be stunningly bad long term planning. I’m curious what thoughts others have, but this issue never ceases ro amaze me. It’s a foreseeable, immediate, existential problem for two million people, and the only way out seems to be luck.

But did each of the homes they left stay vacant or did they immediately get bought up? tbc, I certainly would believe Cuyahoga lost people last year. I just cant believe the loss has increased 1000%. I also don’t believe that multiple large, rapidly growing counties completely reversed course.

[deleted] I misread an above comment.

I do not believe Franklin lost. I do not believe Hamilton lost. I do not believe Lake County lost. I do not believe Shelby County lost. I do not believe Holmes County grew by only 77. And I definitely do not believe Cuyahoga lost as much in FY 20-21 as in the last decade. Very skeptical of these #s overall.

The glass on Artisan looks very sharp in person; photos don’t do it justice. It blows my mind how much this area has changed in the last ten years.

It's not THAT big of a deal, but it's just low hanging fruit that's a relatively noncontroversial way to improve society. It's definitely a problem for people who have kids. For an entire week in the spring, you're fighting against your kids oversleeping, then for two weeks in the fall your kids wake up an hour before you want to every day.

I love that we're switching. What's universally agreed is that the shift is awful. I think the disagreement between DST and ST stems in large part from geography. If you live in, say, the Florida panhandle, yeah standard time probably makes more sense because 5:30 PM would be the earliest the sun ever sets and 5:30 AM would be the earliest the sun ever rises. But if you live in Seattle, standard time has the sun setting as early as 4:15 PM in the winter and rising as early as 4:10 AM in the summer. As somebody with little kids, I'd kinda rather the sun NOT come up at 4 AM. But the overall point is that the debate is stupid because we control what time things start and end. You don't want kids to go to school in the dark? Ok, make school start later! People have been arguing for that for a while anyway. Heck, you can even make school start at different times throughout the year if you want. In China there is only one time zone, but people don't all keep the same working hours across the country as if there's something magical about going to work at 9 AM and you have to do it even when the sun rises at 11 AM. The time shift is stupid because everyone is thrown out of whack at the same time twice a year. But being afraid of getting stuck in DST is equally ridiculous. Human beings decide what time things start and end, and if we don't like DST (or ST) we can make things start later! (or earlier!)

I'll say again, I think this is just one of those renders where you can't tell what the final product will look like. I like the color scheme, but so much depends on exactly how the light hits the panels. Bottom line: 1. It will not be the most attractive building in the area. It will not be the least attractive building in the area. 2. 🎊🥳🎉 Hopefully it gets built.

Psyched to see this is still happening. It’s really not that much of a downsize from the original version when you consider they lost a massive tax credit. If this project can get over the finish line it makes me even more glad the Superior Arts development beat it out for a TMUD credit. The renders look weirdly cartoonish to me. Not in a bad way—they’re nice—but it’s hard for me to picture what this building will look like in real life.

@KJPto piggyback. https://www.politico.com/news/2022/03/10/2020-census-undercount-black-people-hispanics-native-americans-00016138 I did some math and based on the undercount rates by demographic, my back of napkin math says Cleveland was probably undercounted by 8,000-10,000….

Any time a central issue hinges on the Rules of Superintendence, you know you're onto something good. Thanks for the summary. I started trying to wrap my head around this, but I probably should leave it to the people getting paid to do so. My gut tells me there's no way all three of these judges can simultaneously have subject matter jurisdiction....