Hopefully we won't have gerrymandered districts in 2022. If that's the case, then Chabot only has 4 more years in office. A only Hamilton County district would not send him to Congress to continue to be an empty suit and a rubber stamp for Trump. 

Sorry I've been offline for awhile, but how did Aftab do in terms of what the polls were saying? And damn, too bad we didn't put the transportation bill on the ballot, seriously looks like we had a good shot of getting that passed

He overperformed a bit, especially in Hamilton County. It is a +9 GOP advantage and he lost by +6. He never really had a chance. Best case for him was losing by 3-4 points.

 

What he did accomplish was that by having his name on the ballot he probably carried Dumas to victory in the Commissioners race.

Now that Chabot can finally “get started” when can we expect him to bring home federal money for the Western Hills Viaduct or Brent Spence Bridge?

7 hours ago, taestell said:

Now that Chabot can finally “get started” when can we expect him to bring home federal money for the Western Hills Viaduct or Brent Spence Bridge?

He blathered on at his acceptance speech about all of his infrastructure wins past, present, and future. What a joke. 

On ‎11‎/‎8‎/‎2018 at 10:41 AM, IAGuy39 said:

Sorry I've been offline for awhile, but how did Aftab do in terms of what the polls were saying? And damn, too bad we didn't put the transportation bill on the ballot, seriously looks like we had a good shot of getting that passed

 

Basically within the MoE.  Most polls had is as Chabot by mid-single digits.

Ohio Democrats outpolled Republicans in Statehouse races, but will remain in the deep minority; what's ahead for gerrymandering

Despite the strong showing by the Ohio GOP, the Democrats actually did make significant gains over 2016, argues Richard Gunther, who worked on gerrymandering reform and is a professor emeritus of political science at Ohio State University.

 

He found the vote margin between Democrats and Republicans in Ohio's congressional races shifted the Democrats' way by an average of 10 percentage points. That was in line, he said, with national trends.

 

"Ohio did not miss out on the wave at all," Gunther said. "The difference is that gerrymandering was so effective that the Democrats picked up no additional seats."

 

https://www.cleveland.com/expo/news/erry-2018/11/0f32e762411182/ohio-democrats-outpolled-repub.html

Steve Chabot is hosting his first town halls in five years.

 

Strangely, he chose to host one town hall in Harlan Township (Warren County) at 4pm tomorrow and then one in Lincoln Heights (Hamilton County) at 6pm tomorrow. These two locations are almost an hour apart during rush hour, so he can only spend about one hour at the first location max.

 

He's also not announcing these town halls on social media. He hired a company to send out robocalls to people in the communities near the town halls.

1 hour ago, ryanlammi said:

Steve Chabot is hosting his first town halls in five years.

 

Strangely, he chose to host one town hall in Harlan Township (Warren County) at 4pm tomorrow and then one in Lincoln Heights (Hamilton County) at 6pm tomorrow. These two locations are almost an hour apart during rush hour, so he can only spend about one hour at the first location max.

 

He's also not announcing these town halls on social media. He hired a company to send out robocalls to people in the communities near the town halls.

 

Also noticed that the first one was in Miami Township and another one will be in Crosby Township. Other than Lincoln Heights, they're all rural locations. The first one only had a handful of people attend. 

21 hours ago, ryanlammi said:

Harlan Township (Warren County)

 

Is it in the Harlan Township Fire Department building by chance? The house where I grew up is a 4 minute drive from there.

13 minutes ago, taestell said:

 

Is it in the Harlan Township Fire Department building by chance? The house where I grew up is a 4 minute drive from there.

It is

Well Chabot definitely succeeded at finding one of the most remote places in his district to hold this Town Hall.

On 12/2/2011 at 4:05 PM, Quimbob said:

"Jim Berns of College Hill, who describes himself as Cincinnati's best known Libertarian, filed petitions at the Hamilton County Board of Elections last week to run for Congress in the First District of Ohio."

 

http://downtown-mtauburn.fox19.com/news/politics/82216-libertarian-berns-running-congress-first-district

 

For unknown reasons, Jim Berns sent out this press release explaining how Chabot owned the libs at his recent town hall:

Health care executive will be Chabot’s first announced opponent in 2020

 

A health-care executive and Cincinnati native is expected to be the first announced opponent to Rep. Steve Chabot, R-Westwood, in what could be another contentious race for Congress for the 12-term incumbent.

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2019/06/25/health-care-executive-will-be-chabot-s-first.html

 

Second Democrat to take on Chabot emphasizes health care, immigration

 

 

Nikki Foster, a veteran of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and the daughter of two immigrants, announced Monday that she would become the latest Democrat to run against U.S. Rep. Steve Chabot, R-Westwood.

 

The Mason resident and native of Virginia is expected to face at least one other candidate in the Democratic primary, health care executive Kate Schroder of Clifton. More-prominent local Democrats are expected to skip the race after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled last week that the federal courts cannot stop partisan gerrymandering of the sort that grafted urban parts of Hamilton County to suburban and rural Warren County to form a Republican-leaning 1st Congressional District.

 

Democrats have long eyed the district as a pickup opportunity after losing it in the 1994 Republican wave but have been able to unseat Chabot only once, in the 2008 Democratic wave that elected Steve Driehaus to the seat for one term and Barack Obama to the presidency.

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2019/07/01/second-democrat-to-take-on-chabot-emphasizes.html

https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics/columnists/politics-extra/2019/07/02/2020-election-republicans-call-cincinnati-democrat-socialist-loser/1632619001/

 

Quote

Republicans just called a female Air Force combat veteran a "socialist loser."

 

Yeesh, not a good look for the Trump Party. Democrat Nikki Foster is neither a socialist nor a loser, from what little we know about the Mason moderate after she launched her campaign in Ohio's 1st Congressional District on Monday.

 

The tried and true attack lines coming out already in a desperate look from the GOP.

I think she actually stands a better chance than Aftab Pureval given the massive Warren Co suburban population and her military background, Aftab was never going to do well enough in Warren Co to win in '18.

2 hours ago, DarkandStormy said:

https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics/columnists/politics-extra/2019/07/02/2020-election-republicans-call-cincinnati-democrat-socialist-loser/1632619001/

 

 

The tried and true attack lines coming out already in a desperate look from the GOP.

 

 

The Right has already ruined Capitalism's brand by abusing it... will they wipe out the Freedom of Speech brand with their mouths as well?

Chabot gets to ride on a fancy plane:

 

Aftab is left out in the cold:

 

 

 

1st Congressional District race between Steve Chabot, Kate Schroder a toss-up, according to Sabato's Crystal Ball

 

The 1st Congressional District race between U.S. Rep. Steve Chabot, R-Westwood, and Kate Schroder, D-Clifton, is a toss-up, according to Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, a publication at the University of Virginia that forecasts U.S. House and Senate and presidential elections.

 

“Health care executive Kate Schroder is running a spirited campaign against Chabot, who benefited from some missteps by his challenger in a competitive race last cycle,” wrote Kyle Kondik, the publication's managing editor.

 

Crystal Ball joined the Cook Political Report, another major forecaster, in forecasting the race as a toss-up. It had been rated "leans Republican."

 

Chabot's seat is one of only five GOP-held House seats that Crystal Ball rates as a toss-up. Cook rates 12 Republican-held House seats as a toss-up.

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2020/09/03/chabot-schroder-race-rated-a-toss-up.html

 

Just saw Greg Landsman will take on Steve Chabot next year.  I think he has a pretty good shot, and would say he'll easily win, but I'm sure the gang of five stuff will be pushed pretty hard. 

Article below

 

Cincinnati Councilman expected to take on Chabot

 

Cincinnati Councilman Greg Landsman on Thursday will launch a campaign for the U.S. House seat currently held by U.S. Rep. Steve Chabot, R-Westwood, multiple sources have told the Business Courier.

 

Landsman, a Mount Washington Democrat, will be the latest in a long line of Democrats to try to knock out Chabot, who has held the seat for all but two of the past 27 years. Only Steve Driehaus has beaten Chabot, and his 2008 victory was short-lived, with Chabot making a comeback two years later. Landsman was inaugurated for his second term on City Council on Tuesday. He finished second in the council field race behind Vice Mayor Jan-Michele Lemon Kearney.

 

A spokesperson for Chabot did not immediately return a message seeking comment. Landsman declined comment.

21 minutes ago, LAW 21 said:

Just saw Greg Landsman will take on Steve Chabot next year.  I think he has a pretty good shot, and would say he'll easily win, but I'm sure the gang of five stuff will be pushed pretty hard. 

cant see him winning in 2022. He will get his clock cleaned in Warren County .  Also, 2022 is a pretty favorable year for the GOP that it does not bode super well even in a competitive R leaning district. He would be better to wait until 2024 where you have a presidential year with typically higher Dem turnout. Also Chabot may decide to retire by 2024 as he will be in his mid 70s at that time. Much better chance to flip it when it is an open seat than going against the incumbant, even if that incumbant may be weak.

As expected: Chris Wetterich on Twitter: "Updated: The Chabot campaign comes out blazing against Landsman, with a statement from spokesman Jon Conradi: "Greg Landsman has played a central role in the most corrupt city council in Cincinnati history while aligning himself with the far-left fringe of the Democratic Party."" / Twitter

 

And yes, I wasn't thinking about how the GOP is poised to take control of congress. Maybe he doesn't have such a good chance.

On 1/5/2022 at 11:46 AM, LAW 21 said:

aligning himself with the far-left fringe of the Democratic Party

 

Anyone who has payed any attention to City Council at all knows this is spectacularly false.

As voting begins, Landsman, Chabot blast each other’s character

 

The two candidates in Cincinnati’s most-competitive congressional district attacked each other Wednesday night, calling each other a liar on a variety of issues.

 

Cincinnati Councilman Greg Landsman, a Democrat, said his opponent in the 1st Congressional District, U.S. Rep. Steve Chabot, R-Westwood, was lying when he said Landsman voted to defund the Cincinnati Police, then continued to accuse Chabot of untruths innumerable times as the hour-long debate, which aired on WLWT-TV Channel 5, continued.

 

Chabot, who has waged tough, often-negative campaigns against his many Democratic opponents since first being elected in 1994, eventually took umbrage at Landsman’s assault.

 

“Have you noticed how many times he's said I lied? The judge said he lied!” Chabot said. The congressman was referring to Hamilton County Common Pleas Judge Robert Ruehlman’s comments in 2019 at the height of the City Council texting scandal case. Because Landsman and four other council members texted about city business, violating the Open Meetings Act, Ruehlman said, “You essentially lied to the people of the city. The real meeting was being handled in these emails and texts.” Landsman apologized for his role in the scandal years ago.

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2022/10/13/landsman-chabot-debate.html

 

Steve Chabot, Greg Landsman talk about their positions on abortion

 

For decades, U.S. Rep. Steve Chabot, R-Westwood, has been one of the nation’s leading anti-abortion lawmakers, with his signature legislative accomplishment being a ban on late-term abortions.

 

But in 2022 — with the U.S. Supreme Court’s reversal of nationwide protections for the procedure causing corporations to act to cover travel expenses for employees seeking it in another state — there has been a shift in how Chabot talks about abortion. The political demographics of the newly redrawn 1st Congressional District also now favor Democrats.

 

In debates with his Democratic opponent, Cincinnati Councilman Greg Landsman, D-Mount Washington, Chabot has emphasized that the ban on so-called partial-birth abortions allowed exceptions for the life and health of the mother as well as cases in which a woman was raped or the victim of incest.

 

And now, Chabot told the Business Courier, “I would prefer the federal government stay out of it.”

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2022/10/27/steve-chabot-greg-landsman-on-abortion.html

 

Remember that time Chabot stomped Cranley?  This ad is incredible:

 

Greg Landsman, Steve Chabot have big differences on fighting inflation

 

The two candidates trying to represent Cincinnati and Warren County have starkly different views of the inflation bedeviling the country and what to do about the corresponding economic woes.

 

U.S. Rep. Steve Chabot, R-Westwood, blames, in part, the Democrats’ $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, passed in early 2021, as well as the Biden administration’s cancelation of the Keystone XL Pipeline and promotion of energy that does not come from fossil fuels.

 

“I think those are the two things that principally caused the inflation,” Chabot said in an interview with the Business Courier. “What we need to do is reverse those policies that they reversed that gave us the inflation we have now.”

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2022/10/31/chabot-landsman-inflation-differences.html

 

Why Chabot stands by his vote to toss Pennsylvania's electors on Jan. 6

 

One of U.S. Rep. Steve Chabot’s most-controversial votes was taken hours after insurrectionists stormed the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, attempting to overturn the results of the 2020 election won by President Joe Biden.

 

After the attack, Chabot, R-Westwood, joined a majority of the House Republican caucus in voting to toss out Pennsylvania’s 20 electors and disregard the votes of more than 6.8 million people because state officials and judges there made changes to election procedures without state lawmakers’ approval.

 

“The Constitution is a very important document. What it says in there – we have to follow it. When we don’t, that’s when we, as a country, get in trouble,” Chabot told the Business Courier in an interview. “Only legislatures can modify or change election laws. Not the court. Not the secretary of state. They were, I would say, willy-nilly changing the law in Pennsylvania … extending the dates on various things.”

 

Chabot’s opponent in the Nov. 8 election, Cincinnati Councilman Greg Landsman, D-Mount Washington, said the congressman’s defense of that vote shows how much of an extremist he has become and should disqualify him from holding office. A majority of the House GOP also voted to toss out Arizona’s electors, but Chabot did not join them. In Cincinnati’s congressional delegation, U.S. Rep. Warren Davidson, R-Troy, objected to both states’ electors.

 

“It was a coup attempt. There is a coordinated, well-funded assault on our democracy, so that those who have shrinking voting bases and Donald Trump can hold on to power. If we don’t refuse to normalize that behavior, we are going to lose our democracy. Growing up in a Jewish household, you spend a lot of time talking about the Holocaust and Germany and … the rise of fascism,” said Landsman, who is Jewish. “You’re told about attempts to ban books and rights being taken away. You see what’s happening in this country, and it scares the crap of you. It’s absolutely one of the primary reasons I’m running. I want it gone.”

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2022/11/03/chabot-vote-toss-pennsylvania-electors.html

Chabot has conceded. Landsman wins OH-1.

Big surprise to me. I really though Chabot was going to cruise to victory again. Must be a combination of suburbs turning on him a little, and redistricting rules keeping Cincy together.

It probably would have been better strategically for Republicans to use the "packing" strategy of gerrymandering (giving HamCo its own solid blue district, allowing surrounding districts to be less competitive and more solid red). However that would mean Chabot would lose the district, so they used the "cracking" strategy instead (splitting HamCo up into two purplish-red districts).

 

I assume that Chabot is going to retire and not run again in '24, so I wouldn't be surprised if the next gerrymander uses the packing strategy for HamCo which would probably allow them to adjust boundaries elsewhere and wring another seat out of the state.

Republicans can still pass new 4 year maps after the 2024 election, so that change might happen sooner than 2032.

Chabot can't win w/o the West side of Cincy 

2 hours ago, taestell said:

It probably would have been better strategically for Republicans to use the "packing" strategy of gerrymandering (giving HamCo its own solid blue district, allowing surrounding districts to be less competitive and more solid red). However that would mean Chabot would lose the district, so they used the "cracking" strategy instead (splitting HamCo up into two purplish-red districts).

 

I assume that Chabot is going to retire and not run again in '24, so I wouldn't be surprised if the next gerrymander uses the packing strategy for HamCo which would probably allow them to adjust boundaries elsewhere and wring another seat out of the state.

 

2 hours ago, ryanlammi said:

Republicans can still pass new 4 year maps after the 2024 election, so that change might happen sooner than 2032.

It is absolutely imperative that we get a new ballot initiative to establish an independent redistricting commission done prior to the 2025 redistricting. Ideally it would be done in time for the 2024 elections, but that seems unrealistic. But prior to 2025 is absolutely possible. 

The "temporary 4-year map" provision of the anti-gerrymandering amendment was intended to be a punishment for not coming up with a bipartisan 10-year map, but it's really turning out to be more of a benefit to the party in power. There's no incentive to work in good faith to create a bipartisan map when they can force an extremely gerrymandered map through and get to recalibrate it every 4 years based on the latest data rather than having to wait an entire decade to do so. The entire anti-gerrymandering amendment is flawed and needs to be replaced with something much better.

Greg Landsman open to backing compromise Republican for U.S. House speaker

 

U.S. Rep.-elect Greg Landsman, D-Mount Washington, is open to backing a compromise Republican for House speaker, if Democrats end up having a role to play in a pivotal election for the nation’s third-ranking elected official next year.

 

Several of the most conservative House Republicans have vowed not to vote for the House Republican leader, U.S. Rep. Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., for speaker, enough to potentially derail his bid. Because it takes 218 members to elect the speaker, Democrats may have a role to play if McCarthy cannot secure the office in the first several ballots and Republicans cannot unite around a candidate.

 

Democrats have 215 members in the House of Representatives, while Republicans have 220.

 

“I’m not going to vote for Kevin McCarthy,” Landsman told reporters on Thursday. “I’m open to seeing how this plays out. I want a functional Congress.

 

“I will play the most productive role in getting what I hope to be very reliable, steady, calm leadership. What they (local voters) communicated was, ‘We are done with the chaos.’”

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2022/12/15/landsman-open-to-compromise-republican-for-speaker.html

 

In fiery first congressional debate, Landsman, Sonza light into each other over antisemitism

 

U.S. Rep. Greg Landsman, D-Mount Washington, blasted his Republican opponent, Orlando Sonza, at their first debate, saying he touted the endorsement of a Holocaust denier and only rejected it after he “got caught.”

 

In August, the Jewish Insider published a story about a page on Sonza’s website listing Kiumars Kiani as a person who endorses Sonza. Kiani, a former congressional candidate himself, denies the Holocaust and ran a radio ad in 2016 claiming that “Jewish bankers rig key elections." The publication said Sonza rejected the endorsement after learning about it.

 

“I couldn’t believe it,” Landsman said.

 

“The very first moment that we found out about such antisemitic rhetoric from a member of my party, I immediately called it out,” Sonza said.

 

“You got caught,” Landsman responded, later adding, "It's bonkers, absolutely bonkers, that you would suggest, as you did on Twitter, that Joe Biden and I were responsible for Oct. 7 (attack by Hamas militants against Israeli civilians). These are people who are trying to kill me and my family.”

 

For more good tea below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2024/09/17/landsman-sonza-1st-congressional-district-debate.html

Where do they stand?

 

U.S. Rep. Greg Landsman’s 2022 victory was one of the few instances in which a Democrat unseated an incumbent Republican in a year when the GOP took control of the U.S. House. If Democrats hope to erase their six-seat deficit and take control of the chamber, Landsman almost certainly must win reelection in a race where he is the favorite. He would be the first Democrat reelected to represent a Cincinnati House district since Tom Luken in 1988.

 

The Mount Washington resident is running in a district that is nominally Democratic that includes all of the city of Cincinnati, eastern Hamilton County and all of Warren County. Landsman defeated longtime incumbent Steve Chabot, a favorite of the business community, with 53% of the vote, and it shows little signs of backing Orlando Sonza, the underdog Republican running against Landsman, as robustly.

 

The 1st Congressional District favors Democrats by about 2 percentage points on average. Sonza is a West Point grad, former prosecutor, certified public accountant and executive director of the Hamilton County Veterans Services Commission.

 

In separate interviews, the Business Courier asked both about economic issues facing the country and the region for this story. Expect more coverage of issues in the race online in the coming weeks.

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2024/10/03/landsman-sonza-us-house-election-key-issues.html

 

Will either congressional candidate back federal funding for Cincinnati streetcar expansion?

 

Federal funding was a key part of the original $148 million Cincinnati streetcar project, but the city’s congressman demurred when asked whether he would help secure money for any future expansion project.

 

“I don’t know,” U.S. Rep. Greg Landsman, D-Mount Washington, told the Business Courier in a recent interview. “If the streetcar is going to be expanded, Uptown has to take the lead. I’ve said that for years. My position has not changed. And the employers in Uptown are in the position to do that. I think for it to have credibility and to be successful, it is those private-sector employers who would have to take the lead.”

 

Uptown institutions, such as the University of Cincinnati, the hospital systems and the zoo, have shown little interest over the years in publicly supporting a streetcar expansion, let alone paying for it. One of the few exceptions was when then-UC President Santa Ono said the project ought to be expanded up to campus in 2016. Large transportation projects, such as streetcars, usually require a buy-in, sponsorship and funding from local governments in order to get completed.

 

When asked whether he would support federal help for an expansion, Landsman’s opponent, Republican Orlando Sonza, said, “Not knowing the specifics … I have no answer to that.”

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2024/10/22/landsman-sonza-streetcar-expand-federal-funding.html

 

Somebody’s getting fired:

 

 

(via)

Landsman, Sonza weigh in on Trump criminal court cases – and whether Biden should pardon him

 

If Donald Trump fails to win the presidency for a second time, he could face two separate federal trials – one on whether he mishandled classified documents he took from the White House after his 2020 defeat and another on whether he plotted to overturn the election.

 

The Business Courier asked both of the candidates in Cincinnati’s sole contested U.S. House race whether they would have a problem if Trump was convicted in either case and sentenced to federal prison, and whether President Joe Biden should pardon him.

 

Trump has maintained he is innocent and that both prosecutions are political. If Trump wins the election, he's expected to order the Justice Department to drop the cases against him.

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2024/10/30/landsman-sonza-trump-criminal-court-cases-pardon.html

 

Greg Landsman defeats Orlando Sonza; Issue 1 fails

 

U.S. Rep. Greg Landsman, D-Mount Washington, won Tuesday, defeating Republican challenger Orlando Sonza to become the first Democrat reelected to a U.S. House seat from Cincinnati in 36 years.

 

Meanwhile, Issue 1, which sought to change the way Ohio redraws its state legislative and U.S. House districts, went down in defeat after supporters heavily outspent opponents. But those who backed the amendment faced major headwinds because of the ballot language, which described the constitutional amendment as requiring gerrymandering, when supporters argued it did the exact opposite.

 

Landsman garnered 54% of the vote to 46% for Sonza, who lives in Springfield Township. All of the vote in Warren County was counted, while 99% of the precincts in Hamilton County were tallied.

 

"We made a little history tonight," Landsman told his supporters at Queen City Exchange downtown. "The margin (of victory) suggested people do want normal, bipartisan leaders. We set out to be a different kind of national leader. My hope is by the end of the night, we will be part of a House majority."

 

More below:

https://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/news/2024/11/05/landsman-defeats-sonza-issue-1-fails.html