Posted December 1, 201212 yr The first map is a vote margin-of-victory map by county for the 1980 election. Second is a 1984 vote margin of victory map. The third is how those margins changed from 1980-1984, either more Republican or more Democratic and by how much.
December 2, 201212 yr Next set is 1988-1992. The first is the vote margin of victory for the 1988 election. Second is the vote margin of victory for the 1992 election. Third is the change from 1988 to 1992, either more Republican or more Democrat.
December 2, 201212 yr Here is the long-term change from 1980 to 1992, either to more Republican or more Democratic. Some changes over this period include Franklin County gradually going from strong Republican to light Republican, Northeast Ohio gradually turning more blue overall, and Cincinnati staying strongly Republican through the period.
December 2, 201212 yr The third set of maps is 1996-2000. The first map is the vote margin of victory for the 1996 election. The second is the vote margin of victory for 2000. Third is the change from 1996 to 2000, either more Republican or more Democratic.
December 2, 201212 yr Fourth is 2000-2008. First is the vote margin of victory for the 2004 election. Second is the change from 2000-2004. Third is 2008. Fourth is the change from 2004-2008.
December 2, 201212 yr 5th is 2008-2012. First map is the 2012 election. Second is the change from 2008-2012.
December 2, 201212 yr Finally, a couple of long-term change maps. First 2000-2012, and the second 1980-2012.
December 2, 201212 yr These are only really useful for the less populous counties. They'd be more interesting if they controlled for population, showing vote percent increases instead of raw vote increases.
December 2, 201212 yr These are only really useful for the less populous counties. They'd be more interesting if they controlled for population, showing vote percent increases instead of raw vote increases. Do you mean % increase by county as a total of the state vote?
December 2, 201212 yr I meant the changes in the counties' margins of victory, as a percentage of the county vote. Like if Franklin went 55-45 Dem in 2008, then 60-40 in 2012, the value 5% Dem would be reflected. If you do % increase as a total of the state, then you run into the problem that the intensity of shifts in smaller counties aren't displayed. Which is the problem I have regarding the larger counties in the maps shown. A 20k+ increase in Hamilton, Franklin, Cuyahoga, etc., is not that interesting. Bring that shift to Stark county, and it's fairly big. Bring it to Erie County, and you're talking about practically every voter changing her mind.
December 2, 201212 yr I meant the changes in the counties' margins of victory, as a percentage of the county vote. Like if Franklin went 55-45 Dem in 2008, then 60-40 in 2012, the value 5% Dem would be reflected. If you do % increase as a total of the state, then you run into the problem that the intensity of shifts in smaller counties aren't displayed. Which is the problem I have regarding the larger counties in the maps shown. A 20k+ increase in Hamilton, Franklin, Cuyahoga, etc., is not that interesting. Bring that shift to Stark county, and it's fairly big. Bring it to Erie County, and you're talking about practically every voter changing her mind. That could easily be corrected by breaking down the scale into smaller increments. I used a rather large scale because, as you have noted, the differences are wide between counties. I also used a larger scale because using 20 different colors gets a bit confusing and some of the trends, particularly in overall regions of the state, get lost. In any case, I started this thread with the intention of examining the trends from several different angles. This was just the first set based on total votes. In future updates, maybe you'll find other variations more useful.
December 2, 201212 yr Sorry if I came off as being a d*ck. I might have been a little more tactful if I knew you made these (I actually thought they were professionally done!). What program did you use to make them?
December 2, 201212 yr This is great! Thanks so much for taking the time to break this down. It shows great detail on the population shifts and overall trends. Amazing as the presidential turnouts are clearly trending more and more democratic, yet we're still stuck with all 5 state elected offices held by republicans and an insanely gerrymandered state house and congressional delegation that will make it impossible for any democratic majorities in the next 10 years. Pretty crazy.
December 2, 201212 yr This is a long-term change map for 1980-1992 for the change in the % of total state Democratic votes. Total Democratic votes grew 232,528 from 1980 to 1992. Here are how the counties changed during that time as a % to that number.
December 3, 201212 yr These are the long term maps of the % Change for total state votes 1992-2000 and 2000-2012.
May 5, 20178 yr is there of a map of the new ohio state redistricting proposal like the current one in this article? Ohio attorney general rejects congressional redistricting amendment language http://www.cleveland.com/metro/index.ssf/2017/05/ohio_attorney_general_rejects.html#incart_river_home
May 5, 20178 yr I can't believe Delaware County got so much more Republican over the years. Perhaps Ohio Wesleyan and its academics dominated the county in 1980 before all the sprawl hit in the '90s.
May 13, 20178 yr I can't believe Delaware County got so much more Republican over the years. Perhaps Ohio Wesleyan and its academics dominated the county in 1980 before all the sprawl hit in the '90s. Last time the majority of Delaware Co. voted democrat, slavery was still legal (1856). Otherwise, because they're going by raw vote totals not percentages, the choreograph makes Delaware look "more blue" than it really is/was. Delaware County population has nearly tripled from 1980 (68K) to 2010 (198K), so that will skew any graph designed the way JB Columbus 81 did.
