August 24, 20186 yr https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/deadlocked-ohio-congressional-race-decided-friday-57380080 Troy Balderson has officially won the OH-12 special election. His margin of victory is 1,680 votes or 0.8%. Pat Tiberi won the seat by 36.7% in 2016 and Trump carried the district by 11 points. Very Stable Genius
October 25, 20186 yr https://www.the-review.com/news/20181024/ad-watch-troy-balderson-falsely-accuses-danny-oconnor-on-health-care Guess Balderson has to run desperate ads since he has so little money. Quote Ad Watch: Troy Balderson falsely accuses Danny O’Connor on health care Very Stable Genius
October 30, 20186 yr does anyone have any inside information about what's going on in the 14th District (my old home district) between David Joyce and Betsy Rader? Is there any possibility he could lose? Just wondering... http://www.mainstreetpainesville.org/
October 30, 20186 yr Just now, freefourur said: ^ I haven't seen any polling. I assume this is a safe R seat. thanks, although the vote might be closer this time around. After all the district is one of the "swingiest" districts within a swing state (as opposed to swinging?). To take Lake Co specifically, I remember over the years that the vote there almost exactly mirrored the popular vote percentages in presidential elections, at least in the Bush and Obama years. http://www.mainstreetpainesville.org/
October 30, 20186 yr https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/ohio/14/ Quote OH-14 is 11.7 points more Republican than the nation overall and is the 187th-most-Republican district OH-14 hasn't been particularly close since it was re-districted. Even before re-districting it's been Republican-held since the '02 Election. There really are no swing districts in Ohio, save for maybe OH-1 and OH-12 but those are still typically very right-leaning in "normal" circumstances. Very Stable Genius
October 30, 20186 yr Just now, DarkandStormy said: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/ohio/14/ OH-14 hasn't been particularly close since it was re-districted. Even before re-districting it's been Republican-held since the '02 Election. There really are no swing districts in Ohio, save for maybe OH-1 and OH-12 but those are still typically very right-leaning in "normal" circumstances. although I don't think he's going to win by over 25% as he did in 2016 as noted in the article. I believe they're both considered somewhat moderate. http://www.mainstreetpainesville.org/
October 30, 20186 yr https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20181030_OH7.pdf New poll out recently showing OH-7 is...sort of close? Gibbs holding a mid-single digits lead based on the very few polls done of the 7th CD. Edited October 30, 20186 yr by DarkandStormy Very Stable Genius
